What AI Weather Models Can (and Can’t) Tell Us TodayStarter
Oct. 2026How data-driven weather models work — what they do well, where they blur, and what forecasters should trust.
I am currently pursuing a professional master’s degree at the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences (AOS), Fudan University, advised by Prof. Wen Zhou. I completed my undergraduate studies in Spatial Information and Digital Technology at Shanghai Ocean University in 2026.
My interests lie in weather and climate predictability, especially East Asian monsoons, heatwave-to-heavy-rainfall transitions, and combining machine learning with physical-process information. Current projects include drought forecasting, quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) experiments, and Antarctic station forecasts.
Professional Master’s in Meteorology · Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences · Advisor: Prof. Wen Zhou
B.Eng. in Spatial Information and Digital Technology · GPA 3.59/4.0, ranked 2/91 (Top 5%)
A ResNet-Transformer runoff forecasting model fusing meteorological, DEM, and upstream-runoff data; NSE 0.992, ≈13.8% above the LSTM baseline. First-author paper in Water Resources Management (JCR Q1).
An AI platform unifying meteorological visualization, forecasting, and analytics: ECharts/Cesium frontend, SpringBoot + MySQL/Redis backend, and a CNN-LSTM temperature module.
2025
Water Resources Management, 39 (2025), 6073–6092 · JCR Q1, IF = 4.7 (Springer)
A multi-source data fusion ResNet-Transformer model for runoff forecasting in the Jinsha River Basin; average NSE 0.992 across forecast horizons (≈13.8% above the LSTM baseline), with SHAP-based interpretability analysis.
DOI: 10.1007/s11269-025-04241-3How data-driven weather models work — what they do well, where they blur, and what forecasters should trust.
Why physical constraints matter more than raw accuracy — and how to tell genuine skill from climatological mimicry.
Heatwave-to-heavy-rainfall transitions: circulation, air–sea memory, and their predictability.
Since joining the group in 2026, I have been building a physics-guided deep-learning hybrid model for daily-scale drought forecasting in the Jinsha River Basin, extending the multi-source fusion approach of my runoff study to drought. Code and data on GitHub.
I am exploring the QBO as a predictor of extended-range variability, tracing how QBO phases connect to circulation anomalies that influence East Asian climate. Code on GitHub.
I am applying AI weather models to forecasting for Antarctic stations: verification, site-specific correction, and products supporting fieldwork.
2D/3D meteorological geospatial visualization toolkit for Leaflet and Cesium (v0.9.0).
Polar forecasting system for Antarctic stations.
Climate data download toolkit.
Cryptocurrency market monitoring system.
For inquiries, please contact me via email.
Code & data for the Jinsha River Basin daily drought forecasting project: a physics-guided hybrid model (PyTorch).
PythonPyTorch CNN-LSTM temperature time-series forecasting experiments behind the Intelligent Meteorological Map’s real-time predictions.
PythonInteractive Plotly dashboards for NOAA weather-station extreme-temperature data.
Python